IMF Rings Alarm Bells: Deep-Rooted Corruption Now a Direct Threat to Pakistan’s Future
Corruption in Pakistan is no longer just an administrative flaw — it has become a structural crisis that is endangering the nation’s economic stability, global credibility, and the future of its citizens.
This is the central message of a hard-hitting International Monetary Fund (IMF) report released this week, which paints a stark picture of how deeply graft has seeped into Pakistan’s governance fabric.
The Governance and Corruption Diagnostic (GCD), conducted at Pakistan’s own request, exposes how corruption has become a persistent and destructive force, hollowing out state institutions and eroding public trust.
The IMF and World Bank began this diagnostic in January 2025, spending eight months studying the country’s systems, laws, and enforcement mechanisms while Pakistan remained under a 37-month, $7-billion IMF programme.
The report underscores that Pakistan’s ability to secure the next $1.2-billion IMF disbursement hinges on acknowledging and fixing these governance failures — yet the country is currently embroiled in political turmoil.
The controversial 27th Constitutional Amendment has expanded the authority of Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir and curtailed the powers of the Supreme Court, raising concerns about institutional balance and accountability.
Pakistan is aiming for a modest 4.2% growth rate this year. But the IMF estimates that if Islamabad undertakes serious governance reforms within the next 3–6 months, it could unlock 5–6.5% economic growth over the next five years.
Without such reforms, the country risks continuing its downward spiral.
The diagnosis reveals that corruption has become systemic, damaging economic growth, investment, and public confidence.
Pakistan consistently ranks low in global governance indicators because it struggles to enforce contracts, safeguard property rights, or control corruption — all essential pillars of a functioning economy.
A major part of the problem is the state’s oversized footprint in the economy, with widespread government and military involvement in key sectors.
This creates fertile ground for rent-seeking, favouritism, and regulatory manipulation.
The IMF warns that overlapping rules, discretionary decision-making, and weak transparency enable “privileged actors” to bend the system for personal gain — a clear reference to Pakistan’s powerful civil-military elite.
The report also points to deeply entrenched weaknesses in how public resources are managed.
Pakistan’s tax system remains complex, opaque, and vulnerable to abuse. The tax authority operates with considerable power but little oversight.
Meanwhile, porous customs operations and a historically weak revenue structure have kept the tax-to-GDP ratio among the lowest in the world, depriving citizens of public services and deepening economic inequality.
Even areas where Pakistan has shown progress, such as anti–money laundering and counter-terror financing, remain hamstrung by poor enforcement.
While regulatory improvements helped Pakistan exit the FATF grey list, the IMF notes that the country still struggles to prosecute money laundering linked to corruption — a failure that allows billions to vanish into private hands rather than benefit the economy.
In essence, the IMF report warns that corruption is not simply undermining Pakistan’s governance system — it is jeopardising the nation’s long-term survival, weakening institutions, scaring off investors, and pushing ordinary citizens deeper into hardship.
Without deep and immediate reforms, Pakistan risks locking itself into a cycle of instability and economic stagnation.
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